Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 6.260407e-01 0.804479 1.005695 1.246712 1.524874 1.833272 2.198444
2025-09-07 4.049392e-01 0.634214 0.925713 1.311088 1.794918 2.370660 3.095718
2025-09-14 2.605166e-01 0.503343 0.851255 1.354238 2.031933 2.884586 4.009002
2025-09-21 1.631348e-01 0.397286 0.776652 1.373170 2.228268 3.355220 4.897099
2025-09-28 9.388998e-02 0.301618 0.687108 1.346758 2.349347 3.727138 5.673641
2025-10-05 5.717595e-02 0.244993 0.641547 1.371888 2.536483 4.190526 6.585362
2025-10-12 3.262917e-02 0.196652 0.594268 1.381415 2.694050 4.614565 7.455926
2025-10-19 1.510533e-02 0.146965 0.525774 1.338907 2.760935 4.906011 8.149222
2025-10-26 6.108286e-03 0.110424 0.470451 1.306994 2.835973 5.206495 8.859574
2025-11-02 2.364061e-03 0.088320 0.440627 1.316694 2.976632 5.606804 9.720706
2025-11-09 4.287611e-04 0.063730 0.390616 1.274130 3.020329 5.856703 10.367683
2025-11-16 9.013225e-05 0.055517 0.387627 1.331222 3.241965 6.389210 11.441053
2025-11-23 1.141803e-07 0.042732 0.361846 1.334364 3.369485 6.784333 12.332652
2025-11-30 NaN 0.038902 0.369510 1.417823 3.651425 7.436945 13.627459
2025-12-07 NaN 0.033202 0.365467 1.471680 3.880087 8.010411 14.816315
2025-12-14 NaN 0.026451 0.350888 1.495988 4.052430 8.496376 15.882491
2025-12-21 NaN 0.018391 0.319734 1.470092 4.123099 8.814927 16.698054
2025-12-28 NaN 0.014438 0.309014 1.497874 4.301402 9.317184 17.805740
2026-01-04 NaN 0.010664 0.293529 1.508549 4.444008 9.761438 18.829903
2026-01-11 NaN 0.006339 0.261970 1.463641 4.466607 9.999644 19.534648
2026-01-18 NaN 0.003616 0.236187 1.429835 4.508513 10.270198 20.293461
2026-01-25 NaN 0.002346 0.224592 1.440224 4.645892 10.710158 21.328189
2026-02-01 NaN 0.001017 0.199032 1.394965 4.655857 10.923808 22.003146